飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载

  公司動態
  財經快訊
  政策透視
 
 
您的當前位置是:首頁 > 財經快訊

【2020年第1期】財經快訊

發布日期:2020/1/2

2020壓力與活力并存 新經濟催生新機會

       xinnianxinqixiang,zhongguozhengquanshichangyinglaile2020nian。

飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载      suizhuduiwaikaifangjinchengzhubujiashen,xindeyinian,woguojingjiyuzhengcedehexinluojishishenme,zichanpeizhiyouyounaxiexindeliangdianzhideguanzhu……zhengquanshibaotuichu“2020qianzhan”xiliezhuanti,yaoqingzhimingzhuanjiaxuezhe、jigougaoguan、jijinjinglidengfenxiangtamendeyanjiuchengguohezhihui,qipannengbangzhutouzizhekuoqingmiwu,bianmingfangxiang。

穩中求進仍是主基調

國務院發展研究中心金融所副所長 陳道富

飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载       2020nianyoukenengjingjixiaxingyalijiada,weiguanzhutijingyingkunnan。jingjineizaidegongxuliliangjiaoruo,rengjiangshouzhongmeijingmaoguanxidebuquedingxingyingxiang。jinrongtixishouxinyongzhaiweiyue、buliangzichanshangshenghezhongxiaoyinxingjinrongjigoufengxianbaoludeyingxiang,zaizichanguanlixinguiguoduqijieshushidian,cunzaixingweigengjiajinshenhebeidongjinsuodekeneng。difangzhengfucaizhengyalijiada,fangdichandiaokongmianlinjudatiaozhan。weiguanzhutijingyingkunnanrengranjiaoduo,zijinjinzhangzhuangkuangrengkenengchixu。jingjimianlinkunnanhoudefangxiangxuanze,jinrongzichanzoushiyujingjibianhuakenengchuxianjiaodapianli。

      “wenzhongqiujin”rengshi2020nianjingjizhengcedezhujidiao,gengjiaqiangdiao“wen”。dangqianjingjixingshixia,cijijingjizengchang,huobizhengceshiwuxiaode。huobizhengcedezuoyong,shiweigaige、jijicaizhengheqitazhengcetigonglianghaohuanjing,bangzhuweiguanzhuti“aoguo”kunnanqi。huobizhengceyi“shou”buyi“gong”,xuyaocongchuantongchuandaoqudaozhongjietuochulai,conglishunqiyeliudongzijinliuzhuanrushou,bangzhuqiyeduguonanguan。2020nianjingjinizhouqidiaojieyaofahuihaocaizhengheguoqidezuoyong。shidangkuodacaizhengchizihebujiruchizidegezhonganpai,youhuacaizhengzhichujiegou,tigaocaizhengzijindeshiyongxiaolv。fahuihaojuyouzhanlvexinghekuazhouqizuoyongdeguoyouqiyezuoyong,zaijiangdiwuliu、nengyuan、zijindengyaosujiagefangmianfahuidutezuoyong,yueshudifangzhengfu、guoqizaiyingshouzhangkuandengcaiwufangmiandexingwei。gaigeshizhibenzhice,danyexuzhifubiyaochengben,sunhaoyidingdeshehuiziben,guanjianshiyaoxiangyingshichangdezhenzhengsuqiu,xingchengzhenshideliangxinggoutong,wendingxinxin,ningjuxinren,chulihaolixianghexianshijiandeguanxi。

2020:改革出動力

興業銀行、華福證券首席經濟學家 魯政委

      2020nian,woguojingjiyuzhengcedehexinluojijiangshizaiwenzengchanghewengangganzhijianqiudepingheng。congyanxiaqingkuangkan,2020nianshixian“shuangwen”bingburongyi。duici,zhongyangjingjigongzuohuiyizhichu:yao“jianchiyigaigekaifangweidongli”。jiyuci,2020nianzhishaoyouwugefangmiandegaigezhengcezhideqidai。

      yishiyaotigaoxiangmuzibenjinshiyongxiaolv。xutongguoshichanghuagaige,shixiangmujuyoufugaibenxideshouyi。

      ershigaoduzhongshichengshihechengshiqundefazhan。2019nian8yue26rizhongyangcaijingweiyuanhuidiwucihuiyibiaoshi,woguo“jingjifazhandekongjianjiegouzhengzaifashengshenkebianhua,zhongxinchengshihechengshiqunzhengzaichengweichengzaifazhanyaosudezhuyaokongjianxingshi”。zhongxinchengshihechengshiqunbujinduitigaojingjixiaolvfeichangguanjian,huanzaiquebaohuanbenfuxifangmianyouzhulianghaodejichu。

      sanshidalituokuanguquanrongzi。guquanrongzijibaokuoweishangshigongsiguquanrongzi,yebaokuoyijishichang,huanbaokuoerjishichang。muqianzhesangehuanjiedouyouzhongdagaigecuoshizhengzaituichu,biruduisimuguquanjijinshuishoudejianmian、gupiaofaxingdezhucezhigaigehezairongzizhidugaige,yangetuishizhiduhexiyinchangqizijinrushi。

      sishirang“rushi”honglizhongxian。weilaikeyiqidaide,yishizaizhichengpinshangwoguoguanshuizongshuipingdejinyibuxiajiang,ershijiadafuwumaoyilingyudekaifanglidu。《quyuquanmianjingjihuobanguanxixieding》(rcep)15gechengyuanguoxuanbujieshuquanbuwenbentanpanzekenengchengweiyigelvxianluodideyangben。

飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载      wushiwanshanqiyeweiyuepochanzhidu。muqian,dancongzhaiquanshichangkan,zaiyiyou60duojiaqiye、chaoguo1000duoyidezhaiquanfashengweiyuehou,weiyuechuzhirengchuyu“yishiyiyi”de“feibiao”zhuangtai,zheshideshichangzhutizaitouzishanggengqingxiangyuwanquanguibikenengcunzaiweiyuefengxiandezhaiquan,daozhijingjichuxian“jubuxinyongjinsuo”nanyishujiedejingluanzhuangtai。2020niankenengzaiqiyezhaiwuweiyuechulideguifanhua、touminghuashangqudejinzhan。

更徹底的改革舉措值得期待

北京大學光華管理學院院長 劉俏

      ganggangguoqude2019nian,kenengyixieqiyehuoqiyejiaqingxuxiangduidimi。danruguowomentouguogengchangdeshijianweidu、yonglixingdefangshipanduanzhongguojingji,huoxuhuiyoubutongdejiedu。

飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载      woguomuqianyongyouquanshijiezuiwanzhengdegongyemenlei,suiranzaiyixieguanjianlingbujianhuojishushanghuanwufaxingcheng“bihuan”,minyonghangkong、feijifadongji、jichengdianludengxuyaodalifazhan,dandaguogongyehuanyouguangkuokongjian。

飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载      tongshi,“zaigongyehua”、“xinjijian”daidongchanyeshengji。zhongguojingjide“zaigongyehua”shi“chanyedeshuzihuazhuanxing”,yuzhimiqiexiangliandeshixinjijian。weirao“zaigongyehua”de“xinjijian”,yifangmianshejigenchanyebiange、chanyehulianwangxiangpeitaodejichusheshijianshe,ru5gjizhan、yunjisuanshebeideng;lingyifangmianyeshejiyuminshengxiangguandejichusheshitouzi,birujiuchenggaizao、zulinzhufang、chengshigonggongsheshitouzideng。zhexielingyubujintouziguimokeguan,huanjiangjijitongguoshichanghuadefangshixiyinminyingzibentouru。

      gengchedidegaigejucuoyezhideqidai。gaigekaifang40duonianlai,zhongguojingjishehuifazhanqudeleweidachengjiu。worenweigengchedidegaigejucuozhishaoyingbaokuozhexiefangmian,ji:jiangguojiazhanlveheshichangjinxinggengyouxiaodejiehe,jiandingbuyituidongchanyejiegoushengji,yishichanghuadeliliangyindaominyingqiyecanyuqizhong,bingchongdangbiangedezhuli;zhengfuzhuanbianzhineng,gaibianxingweimoshi,xiaochusuoyouzhiqishi,jianlizhenzhengdejingzhengzhongxingyuanze;zaijinrong、laodongli、tudi、shuzizichandenglingyu,dalituijinyaosupeizhideshichanghuagaigejincheng;jiadayanfalidu,zengjiajichukexueyanjiutouru,tishengyanfaxiaolv;chixutuijinjianshuijiangfei、gulichuangyechuangxin,tebieshiyaomingqueminyingjingjidezhongyaoxinghedingwei。

      zaijingjizhuanxingdeguochengzhong,zhongguohuiyouhenduoxinxingxingyejueqi,henduoqiyehuiwanchengcong“da”dao“weida”dechaoyue。weiguanjichudebianqianjuedinglezhongguojingjihuiyuxianzaiyouzhubuyiyangdegeju。kandaozheyidian,womenjiukandaolezhongguojingjidelingyimian。

經濟活動見底回升 關注基建投資提速

瑞銀投資研究部首席中國經濟學家、亞洲經濟研究主管 汪濤

      zhanwang2020nian,suizhuzhongmeijiudiyijieduanxieyidachenggongshi,meifangquxiaobingdiaojianglebufenjiazhengguanshui,yujichukoujixiangguanhuodongjiangqiwen。qiyexinxinyouwanggaishan,laodonglishichangshoudaodechongjiyekenengjianruo。suizhutiqianxiadadezhuanxiangzhaizijinzai2020nianchudaowei,womenyujijingjihuodongyijingjiandi,huicongyijidukaishihuanbigaishan。buguo,sanjiduhou,suizhufangdichanhuodongfanghuan,huanbizengchangshitoukenengfanghuan。womenyuji2020nianquannianshijigdpzengchangyouwangda6%zuoyou。2020nianshijigdpbi2010nianfanfandemubiaoyouwangshixian。

飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载      fangfanxitongxingjinrongfengxianshisandagongjianzhanzhiyi,yiranfeichangzhongyao,yinciwomenrenwei2020nianbuhuichutaidafucijicuoshi。yuji2020nianzhengticaizhengzhengcefangsongdeliduyaoxiaoyu2019nian,danhuigengzhuzhongkuodazhichu,bingzhongdianzhichijijian。yujihuobihexindaizhengcexiaofufangsong,yangxingkenengjiangzhun50~100gejidian,bingzaierjiducpikaishihuiluozhihouxiadiaomlflilv10~15gejidian,quannianshehuirongzizengchangyujida11.5%。

      2020niandeyigeliangdianjiangshijijiantouzitisu。2019nianjijianfandanbujiyuqi,yifangmianshiyinweifangdichanhuodongbijiaowenjian,lingyifangmianshiyinweisuiranzhuanxiangzhaifaxingdafutisheng,dan70%touxiangtuchuhepenggaidengfeijijianxiangmu,tongshidifangyinxingzhaiwushoudaojiaoyangedeguankong、rongzipianjin。2020nian,womenyujidifangzhengfuzhuanxiangzhaijiangjinyibukuoda,bingqieyibanyishangjiangyongyuzhichijijianxiangmu;tongshizhuanxiangzhaikeyongzuoxiangmuzibenjindebilijiangzengjia,difangpingtaiderongzixianzhiyehuilveyoufangsong,doujiangyouzhuyujijiantouzizengsuhuishengzhi6%~8%。

      2020nianhuilvyouwangbaochixiangduiwending。zhongguozhengfuyizaizhongshenbuhuicaiqujingzhengxingbianzhi,huilvzai2019nianmaoyimocashengjideqingkuangxiayebaochilexiangdangdewendingxing。jingguozheyinianduo,shichangduiyuzhongguozhengfudehuilvzhengceyituhehuilvguanlinengliyoulexiangdangdelijieherenke,womenyujiweilaiyiliangnianrenminbiduimeiyuanhuilvjiangzai7shangxiazhaifubodong。

穩健貨幣政策需要新內涵新舉措

中國人民大學副校長、中國宏觀經濟論壇聯席主席 劉元春

飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载      suizhujinrongzhengdunheshenhuajinrongtizhigaigedechixutuijin,dangqianhuajiejinrongfengxiangongjianzhanqudelejieduanxingshengli,huobizhengcebianjikuansongdexiaoguokaishixianxian。buguo,zaijingjizengsuchuxianneishengxinghuiluojiasuhewaibuxuqiupiruanquanmiankuozhangzhiji,2020nianwenjiandehuobizhengcexuyaomingquexinneihanhexinjucuo,yiwendingshichangyuqi。

      zaigaigejixutuijin、jinrongchuangxinbuduanyongxian、lilvshichanghuashangweichediwanchengdeqingkuangxia,huobizhengceyingzhuzhongjiaqiangyuqiguanli,yitigaohuobizhengcedeyouxiaoxing。youyuzongxuqiubuzuwentiyijingxianhua,wenjiandehuobizhengcebixuqizhixianmingdichanshuwenjiandexinneihan,baokuohuilvdiaozheng、cunkuanzhunbeijinyijililvdediaozhengyinggengmingqueqipiankuansongdeneihan。

飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载      2020niandehuobizhengcejiangyanxu2019niandejibendingwei,dancaozuofangshikeshidupiansong。yifangmian,zaikongzhizhaiwuguodushangzhangguochengzhong,huobizhengcedegongjuxuanzeshifenzhongyao,jiagexinggongjuduiyugaozhaiwuqiyedediaozhenggengweiyouli,jiandandeshuliangkuansongrengxukongzhi。yinci,muqiandekuansonghuobizhengcedingweiyingzaishuliangxinggongjudingzhuliudongxingdejichushang,yijiagexinggongjuweizhudao,tongguojiangxidiaojierongziguimo、wendingzichanjiage、jiangdihuanbenfuxiyali。

      lingyifangmian,m2zengsubuyishedingguodi,yingweiyufangtonghuojinsuofengxianhegeleijinrongzhibiaoneishengxingdeshousuoyuliukongjian,yingmiqieguanzhuweilailiangsangejidudejiagexingshibianhua,jishidiaozhenghuobizhengcedingwei。jianyi2020nianm2zengsuyinggaoyumingyigdpzengsushuiping,dadao8.5%~9%;quanshehuirongzizongezengsubunengguokuaihuidiao,baochizai11%zuoyoufuhejinrongzhengdunyuqianghuajianguandeyaoqiu。

從中國制造到中國資產

招商證券首席宏觀分析師 謝亞軒

飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载      2019nian,quanqiuduogejingjitiyibutongdeshijiao,zaicirenshidao“zhongguozhizao”deyingxiangli,zhegeshijiaojiushizhongmeimaoyimoca。

      zhongguodequanqiuzhizaozhongshudiwei,juedinglezhongmeimaoyimocaduiquanqiujingjijiangchanshengfumianyingxiang。zhanwang2020nianzhongguohongguanjingjizoushi,wozhuyaokaolvsangeliliang:yigexiangxiadeliliang,lianggexiangshangdeliliang。xiangxiadeliliangzhuyaoshiyouyumaoyimocadailaideduanqijingjiyali。genjuwomendecesuan,jiadingmeiguoduizhongguojiazhengdeguanshuishuipingbaochixianzhuang,dui2020nianzhongguogdpdefumianyingxiangjiejin0.4gebaifendian。xiangshangdeliliangfangmian,yigeshijijinizhouqizhengcedexiangshangduichongliliang,nizhouqizhengceyaoxiangjijueze,danxuyaojinyibupingguzhengceliduhejiezou,yifangmianyaokaolvdangqianjiugaidengwentouzishouduandui2020nianshangbannianfangdichantouzihejijiantouzidezhengmianyingxiang,lingyifangmianyaokaolv2018niansijiduqidonggeshuigaigezhihoufanyingzai2020nianshangbannianxiaofeixuqiudezhengmianyingxiang。lingyigexiangshangdeliliangshiguoneijingjineishengxiangshangdedongli。

飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载      “zhongguozhizao”dezhongshuzuoyonghezhongguojingjisuochengxianderenxing,yinchulingyigeriyizhongyaodehuati——“zhongguozichan”。shouxian,zhongguojingjizuixianshoudaozhongmeimaoyimocadeyingxiang,jibenmianlvxianchuxiandiaozheng,zaimaoyimocahuanheqiyeyouwanglvxianchuxianqiwenjixiang;qici,zhongguoshishaoshuyongyousuoyoubuleizhizaoyedejingjitizhiyi,zhizaoyezengjiazhiquanqiuzhanbizuigao。ruguomaoyihezhizaoqiwen,zhongguozichanshouyiyezuiquanmianzhijie;disan,zhongguozai“niquanqiuhua”zhongjianchijinrongshichangkaifang,zhubuxiaochuguojizibenzengjiachiyouzhongguoquanyihezhaiquanzichandezhiduzhangai;disi,quanqiuyifulilvbiaojiadezhaiquanguimogaoda17wanyimeiyuan,tuxianlezhongguozichandexiyinli。

減值資產將創造新的投資機會

廣發證券首席經濟學家 沈明高

       2020nianquanqiujingjizengchangjianggengqupingyonghua,weilaihenkenengchuxiangongzhenxiaxingqushi。

       congjiegouxingyinsukan,woguofuwuyezhangdpbizhongchixushangsheng,shizhizaoyezengchangfangmandebiranjieguo。guojijingyanbiaoming,dangyiguofuwuyezhangdpbizhongchaoguo50%shi,qizhengcezhongxingdegdpzengsudazhiwei4%~6%。weilaisuizhuwoguojingjizhongxincong“zhizao、touzi、chukou”xiang“fuwu、xiaofei、chuangxin”zhuanbian,jingjizengchanglvhenkenengjiangchangqichuyuzheyiqujian。

      jingjizengchangfanghuanshiwoguogaozhiliangfazhandebijingzhilu,zheyiguochengyebiaoxianweizichanjiazhidefenhua。congmei、ri、hansanguojingyankan,jingjizengsuxiahuahuikaoyanxingyechengchangdewenjianxing,bingshaixuanchuxindetouzijihui。2020nianshichangjiangjinyibuzhuizhuquedingxinggaode“zengzhijihui”:yishiwoguoshengchanzhejiangzhubuxiangxiaofeizhezhuanhua,zengchangzhongxinqianyihuilihaoxiaofeiyufuwubankuai;ershidisicigongyegemingjiangfangdawoguobiaozhunhua、guimohuayoushi,gaoduanzhizaoyehaiwaishichangfeneyouwangjinyibutuozhan;sanshiwoguowaimaozhongxinjiangzhubucongfadashichangzhuanxiangxinxingshichang,zhongmeimaoyimocayingxiangchixuruohuayouliyuminqitouzixinxinhuifu;sishiquanqiutongzhangshuipingkenengchudibingjinrujiaochangshangxingqi,kangtongzhangzichanhuojiangdailaichaoeshouyi。

      quanqiujingjixiaxinghuankenengtuidonggaoshouyizhaiquanweiyuelvfandan,bingcushi“jianzhizichan”(distressed assets)zheyixinpinzhongkuaisujueqi;xianjinliuchuangzaolixiajiangdezhongzichanxingyeheqiyehuimianlinjiaodadejianzhifengxian,zheweixindeliudongxinggongjuyuliudongxingtigongzhedechuxiandailaiqiji。weilai,juyoudingjianengli、liudongxingguanlinenglihechanpinchuangshenenglidefeiyinjinrongjigouhenkenengchengweijinrongchuangxindezhujiao,“jianzhizichan”jiangchuangzaoxindetouzijihui。

審時度勢分享中國增長紅利

摩根資產管理亞洲首席市場策略師 許長泰

      guoqu20nian,zhongguodejueqidalidaidonglequanqiujingjizengchang。yinci,ruoyaoyuceweilaiquanqiujingjidezoushi,jieduzhongguozhiguanzhongyao。

      raner,zhongguoduiquanqiujingjijiqiyefazhandegongxianzhengzaiqiaoranzhuanbian。yinweimaoyibaohuzhuyitaitoujizhongguozengchangmoshizhuanxing,bushaojingjidaguomianlinxuqiufanghuandeqingkuang。yiouzhouweili,ouzhouguowangdechukouzengchangyilaizhongguoxiaofeizheduiqichedexuqiu,yijizhongguogongyefazhanduizhongxingjixiedexuqiu。danshi,zhongguozhengchujingjizhuanxingzhongyaoguaidian,xiaofeizhebuzaizhixuyaoqiche、yifuxielvhedianzichanpindengxiaofeipin。tamenxunqiudeshixiaofeipinjifuwushengjiduishenghuodeyouhua,zhexiehangaijiaoyu、yiliaojijinrongfuwu。shehuijianshefangmian,zhongguorengyoujixufazhanjiaotongyunshudexuyao,danzengchangzhongdianjiangluozaizixunkeji。fangdichandiaokongjibenhuijixu,duidazongshangpindexuqiuzhihuiwenhezengchang。

      yinci,guoqu10nianxingdetongdedianzi,bingbudaibiaoweilai10nianyenengjixuchenggong。suiranzhongguoduiyuchuantongxiaofeipinjidazongshangpindexuqiuyiranpangda,danzengchangsudujianghuifanghuan。gedajingjitijikuaguoqiyeruxiangjixuxiangshouzhongguozengchanghonglidehua,bianyaodashangxinjingjidekuaiche。

飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载      zhongguozhejinianyizhubukaifangjinrongxingye,rangwaizijigoujinruguoneishichang。kejifangmian,zhongguoqiyekaifadejishuzaimouxielingyuyijijujingzhengli,tebietixianzairuhejiangkejiyingyongzaikuodaxiaofeizheduiyule、yiliaohejiaoyudejiechudianfangmian。tongshi,waiguojishuzaizhichiguoneigongyeshengjifangmianyekezuochuhendagongxian。jinguanbaohuzhuyitaitouyoukenenglingzhexiehuhuihubudejihuishouyingxiang,danwomenyebuyingdigushangjieduizhengcedeyingxiangli。

      2020nianjiyihou,nenggouyinghezhongguofazhanxinfangxiangdejingjitiheqiye,jiangkeyibawozengchangshitou,chixufenxiangzhongguojingjizengchanghongli。(laiyuan:zhengquanshibaowang)

 

電子郵箱:xihc@gytcyl.com飞舞棋牌app下载,飞舞棋牌官方版下载           西安投資控股有限公司   版權所有

di zhi:xianshigaoxinqukejiwulu8haoshuzidasha4ceng you bian:710075   dian hua:029-88858820 chuan zhen:029-88858825  

信訪舉報:(029)88858820-6031   xihcxfjb@126.com